Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 21/08, 19:30
Prediction: Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Team pages: Neuchatel Xamax · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Neuchatel Xamax1.33
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1.73
1X2
Neuchatel Xamax
Draw
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Neuchatel Xamax
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neuchatel Xamax
1–1–4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
(6 last)
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2-1Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax3-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax0-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Neuchatel Xamax 1538 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1573
| Neuchatel Xamax | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neuchatel Xamax | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neuchatel Xamax 1–1–4 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 08/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 10/12/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 03/10/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 18/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 24/01/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neuchatel Xamax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | Winterthur | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Etoile Carouge | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Aarau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Kriens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Wil 1900 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neuchatel Xamax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Meyrin Switzerland Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 07/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Lausanne-Sport Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | FC Sion Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Lugano Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CS Italien Switzerland Cup |
5-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Zurich Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Lucerne Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win (46%). Probabilities: Neuchatel Xamax 29%, draw 25%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 46%.
How many goals are expected in Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Neuchatel Xamax 1.33 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.73), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.