Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax

Team pages: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · Neuchatel Xamax

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.19

Neuchatel Xamax0.87

1X2

67% 21% 13%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Draw Neuchatel Xamax

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWDW

Neuchatel Xamax 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4–1–1 Neuchatel Xamax (6 last)

Neuchatel Xamax1-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2-1Neuchatel Xamax
Neuchatel Xamax3-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3-0Neuchatel Xamax
Neuchatel Xamax0-2Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-0Neuchatel Xamax

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (rating 1628 vs 1485).
H2H favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Neuchatel Xamax
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.3	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.1	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/10/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 32.01

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.58▲	Pinn 1.58
X	4.31 → 4.28▼	Pinn 4.28
2	4.85 → 4.84▼	Pinn 4.84

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:42 +233’	1.57	4.31	4.85
10:58 +39’	1.58▲	4.28▼	4.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 4–1–1 Neuchatel Xamax

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax	1-2 HT 0-2	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
15/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	2-1 HT 1-0	Neuchatel Xamax
08/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax	3-0 HT 3-0	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
10/12/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	3-0 HT 3-0	Neuchatel Xamax
03/10/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax	0-2 HT 0-1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
18/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-0 HT 0-0	Neuchatel Xamax

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	10	7	3	0	20	3	24
2	Yverdon Sport FC	10	5	4	1	16	9	19
3	Winterthur	10	5	3	2	19	11	18
4	Kriens	10	4	3	3	17	12	15
5	Neuchatel Xamax	10	5	0	5	15	17	15
6	Aarau	10	3	3	4	15	18	12
7	FC Rapperswil-Jona	10	3	1	6	15	19	10
8	Wil 1900	10	2	4	4	16	22	10
9	Etoile Carouge	10	2	3	5	8	14	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	Neuchatel Xamax
FC Rapperswil-Jona	3-0 W	0-3 L
Yverdon Sport FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Wil 1900	4-0 W	2-1 W
Kriens	2-0 W	3-2 W
Etoile Carouge	3-0 W	1-0 W
Winterthur	1-1 D	3-0 W
Aarau	1-1 D	1-2 L
Stade Nyonnais	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

WDWWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/09	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
11/09	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
04/09	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
01/09	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	3-0	0	6	W
28/08	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
21/08	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
07/08	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
01/08	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
24/07	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Neuchatel Xamax

WWWLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
18/09	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	0-3	8	5	L
11/09	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	3-1	2	1	W
04/09	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
01/09	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
28/08	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
21/08	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	1-2	7	8	L
07/08	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/07	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
24/07	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	3-1	3-2	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win (67%). Probabilities: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 67%, draw 21%, Neuchatel Xamax 13%.

How many goals are expected in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2.19 · Neuchatel Xamax 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.