Prediction: Servette vs Basel
| Servette | Draw | Basel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Servette (rating 1553 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Basel: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Servette | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 1–1–4 Basel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Servette |
| 20/12/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Servette |
| 05/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Basel |
| 04/05/25 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Servette |
| 09/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Basel |
| 24/11/24 Switzerland Super League | Basel | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Servette |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lucerne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grasshoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Servette | Basel |
|---|---|---|
| Winterthur | 5-3 W | 2-2 D |
| Young Boys | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Servette (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Servette
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | St Etienne Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Basel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Winterthur Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Servette vs Basel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette win (39%). Probabilities: Servette 39%, draw 25%, Basel 35%.
How many goals are expected in Servette vs Basel?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Servette 1.68 · Basel 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Servette vs Basel?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

