Prediction: Servette vs Basel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.26Total
Servette1.68
Basel1.58
1X2
39% 25% 35%
Servette Draw Basel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Servette 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDWWLW
Basel 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLWLDD
Head-to-head
Servette 1–1–4 Basel (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Servette 1553 · Basel 1471
ServetteDrawBasel
Our model39%25%35%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Servette (rating 1553 vs 1471).
  • H2H favours Basel: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ServetteBasel
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 0.91 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.30.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.52 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 114 Basel

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Switzerland Super League
Basel3-1
HT 1-0
Servette
20/12/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel1-1
HT 0-1
Servette
05/10/25
Switzerland Super League
Servette0-3
HT 0-2
Basel
04/05/25
Switzerland Super League
Basel5-1
HT 3-0
Servette
09/02/25
Switzerland Super League
Servette2-1
HT 0-0
Basel
24/11/24
Switzerland Super League
Basel3-1
HT 1-0
Servette

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Basel 000 000
1 Lugano 000 000
1 Lucerne 000 000
1 FC Sion 000 000
1 St Gallen 000 000
1 FC Thun 000 000
1 FC Vaduz 000 000
1 FC Zurich 000 000
1 Grasshoppers 000 000
1 FC Lausanne-Sport 000 000
1 Servette 000 000
1 Young Boys 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentServetteBasel
Winterthur 5-3 W 2-2 D
Young Boys 1-1 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Servette (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Servette

WWDWWDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 St Etienne
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 20 W
15/07 Lyon
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 22 L
16/05 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 84 W
12/05 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-0 96 W
09/05 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
2-0 3-3 24 D
03/05 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 35 W
26/04 Winterthur
Switzerland Super League
3-2 5-3 42 W
12/04 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 66 D
06/04 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-0 3-0 45 W
21/03 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
4-0 5-0 52 W

Basel

LLWLLLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Juventus
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 0-0 33 D
11/07 Winterthur
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-2 D
08/07 Yverdon Sport FC
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-3 L
26/06 FC Rapperswil-Jona
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-0 40 W
17/05 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-2 0-4 54 L
14/05 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-3 109 L
10/05 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-3 63 L
02/05 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-1 55 W
26/04 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-2 31 L
18/04 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-3 85 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Servette vs Basel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Servette win (39%). Probabilities: Servette 39%, draw 25%, Basel 35%.

How many goals are expected in Servette vs Basel?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Servette 1.68 · Basel 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Servette vs Basel?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.