Football · Switzerland Super League · 26/07, 16:30
Prediction: St Gallen vs FC Zurich
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
St Gallen2.25
FC Zurich1.32
1X2
St Gallen
Draw
FC Zurich
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Gallen
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Zurich
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Gallen
4–2
FC Zurich
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Gallen 1518 · FC Zurich 1486
| St Gallen | Draw | FC Zurich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours St Gallen: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Gallen | FC Zurich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 3.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Gallen 4–0–2 FC Zurich
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC Zurich |
| 06/12/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FC Zurich |
| 27/09/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 3-1 HT 0-1 | St Gallen |
| 17/05/25 Switzerland Super League | St Gallen | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Zurich |
| 09/02/25 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 1-2 HT 1-0 | St Gallen |
| 15/12/24 Switzerland Super League | FC Zurich | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St Gallen |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lucerne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Sion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Gallen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grasshoppers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Servette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Young Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Gallen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Norwich Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Lyon Europe Friendlies |
2-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Austria Lustenau Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Winterthur Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | SCR Altach Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
FC Zurich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Greuther Furth Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Kriens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | FC Thalwil Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 6-4 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Schaffhausen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | YF Juventus Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | FC Dietikon Club Friendly List |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Gallen vs FC Zurich?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Gallen win (57%). Probabilities: St Gallen 57%, draw 22%, FC Zurich 21%.
How many goals are expected in St Gallen vs FC Zurich?
The model expects 3.57 goals (St Gallen 2.25 · FC Zurich 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St Gallen vs FC Zurich?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.