Football · Switzerland Super League · 03/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lugano vs Servette
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Lugano2.01
Servette0.99
1X2
Lugano
Draw
Servette
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lugano
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Servette
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lugano
1–1–4
Servette
(6 last)
- Lugano1-1Servette
- Lugano4-2Servette
- Servette2-1Lugano
- Servette4-1Lugano
- Lugano0-2Servette
- Servette3-0Lugano
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lugano (rating 1638 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Servette: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | Servette | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 1–1–4 Servette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Servette |
| 14/12/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Servette |
| 26/10/25 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lugano |
| 15/05/25 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Lugano |
| 29/03/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Servette |
| 01/12/24 Switzerland Super League | Servette | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Basel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Zurich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Lucerne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 9 | Servette | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lugano | Servette |
|---|---|---|
| FC Zurich | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Grasshoppers | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Basel | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Young Boys | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Lugano (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Servette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Lausanne Sports Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Winterthur Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs Servette?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (60%). Probabilities: Lugano 60%, draw 23%, Servette 17%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs Servette?
The model expects 3 goals (Lugano 2.01 · Servette 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs Servette?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.