Prediction: Servette vs FC Sion

Team pages: Servette · FC Sion

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Servette1.7
FC Sion1.74
1X2
37% 25% 38%
Servette Draw FC Sion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Servette 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWDLLWWL
FC Sion 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWLWWWWD
Head-to-head
Servette 2–4–0 FC Sion (6 last)
  • Servette0-0FC Sion
  • Servette3-3FC Sion
  • FC Sion0-2Servette
  • FC Sion1-1Servette
  • FC Sion3-3Servette
  • Servette3-0FC Sion
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Servette 1514 · FC Sion 1575
ServetteDrawFC Sion
Our model37%24%39%
Market36%26%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1514 vs 1575).
  • H2H favours Servette: 2-4-0.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ServetteFC Sion
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.32.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.43.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.23.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Servette 2–4–0 FC Sion

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Switzerland Super League
Servette0-0
HT 0-0
FC Sion
31/01/26
Switzerland Super League
Servette3-3
HT 2-1
FC Sion
17/09/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Sion0-2
HT 0-0
Servette
13/04/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Sion1-1
HT 0-0
Servette
04/02/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Sion3-3
HT 1-1
Servette
19/10/24
Switzerland Super League
Servette3-0
HT 1-0
FC Sion

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 9810 27725
2 Young Boys 9540 311819
3 FC Sion 9612 231419
4 Basel 9414 171713
5 St Gallen 9414 161913
6 Lucerne 9333 171812
7 FC Zurich 9324 142011
8 Servette 9315 111310
9 FC Thun 9315 152310
10 Grasshoppers 9225 13248
11 FC Vaduz 9207 18216
12 FC Lausanne-Sport 9135 7156

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentServetteFC Sion
Young Boys 2-3 L 2-4 L
FC Thun 4-2 W 3-2 W
St Gallen 0-2 L 3-0 W
Lugano 0-1 L 1-2 L
Lucerne 1-1 D 3-0 W
Grasshoppers 2-1 W 5-2 W
FC Zurich 1-2 L 1-1 D
Basel 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sion (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Servette

WLLWDLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
2-1 2-3 63 L
16/09 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
2-1 4-2 56 W
13/09 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-0 23 W
06/09 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-2 24 L
03/09 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 34 L
29/08 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-1 136 D
08/08 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
1-1 2-1 76 W
01/08 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-2 75 L
25/07 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-1 110 L
16/05 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-0 84 W

FC Sion

DLWWLWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 FC Zurich
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-1 51 D
15/09 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
1-1 5-2 56 W
12/09 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
2-0 3-0 23 W
06/09 FC Thun
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-2 115 W
03/09 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-1 75 W
30/08 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-1 1-2 83 L
09/08 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
1-2 3-2 66 W
02/08 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-0 3-0 32 W
26/07 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
1-2 2-4 43 L
17/05 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-3 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Servette vs FC Sion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Sion win (38%). Probabilities: Servette 37%, draw 25%, FC Sion 38%.

How many goals are expected in Servette vs FC Sion?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Servette 1.7 · FC Sion 1.74), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Servette vs FC Sion?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.