Prediction: FC Zurich vs FC Thun

Team pages: FC Zurich · FC Thun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.91Total
FC Zurich1.91
FC Thun2
1X2
37% 23% 40%
FC Zurich Draw FC Thun
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Zurich 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLDWD
FC Thun 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLWDLLLW
Head-to-head
FC Zurich 1–2–3 FC Thun (6 last)
  • FC Zurich2-1FC Thun
  • FC Thun4-2FC Zurich
  • FC Zurich0-4FC Thun
  • FC Thun0-0FC Zurich
  • FC Zurich3-3FC Thun
  • FC Thun3-2FC Zurich
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Zurich 1501 · FC Thun 1493
FC ZurichDrawFC Thun
Our model37%22%40%
Market37%23%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Thun: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC ZurichFC Thun
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.21.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.51.8 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.24.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zurich 1–2–3 FC Thun

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Switzerland Super League
FC Zurich2-1
HT 1-1
FC Thun
20/12/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Thun4-2
HT 0-2
FC Zurich
23/08/25
Switzerland Super League
FC Zurich0-4
HT 0-2
FC Thun
06/07/24
Europe Friendlies
FC Thun0-0
HT 0-0
FC Zurich
03/08/20
Switzerland Super League
FC Zurich3-3
HT 2-0
FC Thun
01/07/20
Switzerland Super League
FC Thun3-2
HT 3-2
FC Zurich

Standings · Switzerland Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugano 9810 27725
2 Young Boys 9540 311819
3 FC Sion 9612 231419
4 Basel 9414 171713
5 St Gallen 9414 161913
6 Lucerne 9333 171812
7 FC Zurich 9324 142011
8 Servette 9315 111310
9 FC Thun 9315 152310
10 Grasshoppers 9225 13248
11 FC Vaduz 9207 18216
12 FC Lausanne-Sport 9135 7156

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC ZurichFC Thun
FC Sion 1-1 D 2-3 L
FC Vaduz 2-1 W 2-1 W
Grasshoppers 2-2 D 0-1 L
Young Boys 2-4 L 0-6 L
FC Lausanne-Sport 3-2 W 0-0 D
Basel 1-2 L 2-4 L
Servette 2-1 W 2-4 L
St Gallen 1-2 L 4-3 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Zurich (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Zurich

LLWLLWLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
1-1 1-1 51 D
13/09 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
0-1 2-1 72 W
05/09 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
0-0 2-2 48 D
01/09 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
1-2 2-4 35 L
29/08 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-1 3-2 65 W
22/08 Basel
Switzerland Super League
1-0 1-2 411 L
09/08 Lugano
Switzerland Super League
0-2 0-5 23 L
01/08 Servette
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-1 45 W
26/07 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-2 44 L
16/05 Servette
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-2 64 L

FC Thun

DWLLWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Vaduz
Switzerland Super League
1-0 2-1 75 W
16/09 Servette
Switzerland Super League
1-2 2-4 76 L
12/09 Grasshoppers
Switzerland Super League
0-1 0-1 107 L
06/09 FC Sion
Switzerland Super League
1-1 2-3 45 L
02/09 FC Lausanne-Sport
Switzerland Super League
0-0 0-0 64 D
30/08 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
1-0 4-3 14 W
09/08 Basel
Switzerland Super League
0-2 2-4 54 L
01/08 Young Boys
Switzerland Super League
0-3 0-6 42 L
25/07 Lucerne
Switzerland Super League
1-1 3-1 64 W
17/05 St Gallen
Switzerland Super League
0-0 1-1 95 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Zurich vs FC Thun?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Thun win (40%). Probabilities: FC Zurich 37%, draw 23%, FC Thun 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Zurich vs FC Thun?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FC Zurich 1.91 · FC Thun 2), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Zurich vs FC Thun?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.