Football · Japan J-League · 21/10, 12:00

Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe

Team pages: Kawasaki Frontale · Vissel Kobe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Kawasaki Frontale1.5

Vissel Kobe1.35

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Kawasaki Frontale Draw Vissel Kobe

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kawasaki Frontale 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWWDLW

Vissel Kobe 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Kawasaki Frontale 2–4 Vissel Kobe (6 last)

Kawasaki Frontale1-2Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe2-1Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale3-0Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe1-0Kawasaki Frontale
Vissel Kobe0-1Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale0-1Vissel Kobe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kawasaki Frontale 1573 · Vissel Kobe 1603

	Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Vissel Kobe
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vissel Kobe: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kawasaki Frontale	Vissel Kobe
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.4	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.05

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.34
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.72 ★
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.82

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +25’	2.30	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:12 +4’	2.38	3.58	2.77
08:13 +4’	2.20▼	3.76▲	3.03▲
09:05 +13’	2.34▲	3.72▼	2.82▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawasaki Frontale 2–0–4 Vissel Kobe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/25 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	1-2 HT 1-1	Vissel Kobe
16/04/25 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	2-1 HT 2-1	Kawasaki Frontale
07/08/24 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	3-0 HT 0-0	Vissel Kobe
16/06/24 Japan J-League	Vissel Kobe	1-0 HT 1-0	Kawasaki Frontale
17/02/24 Japan Super Cup	Vissel Kobe	0-1 HT 0-0	Kawasaki Frontale
12/08/23 Japan J-League	Kawasaki Frontale	0-1 HT 0-1	Vissel Kobe

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	7	2	1	25	6	23
2	FC Tokyo	10	7	2	1	21	8	23
3	Kashiwa Reysol	10	7	0	3	22	17	21
4	Machida Zelvia	9	6	2	1	22	10	20
5	Kashima Antlers	10	6	1	3	21	16	19
6	Vissel Kobe	9	6	1	2	14	9	19
7	Kawasaki Frontale	10	4	4	2	21	16	16
8	Yokohama F-Marinos	10	4	4	2	13	9	16
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	10	5	0	5	17	21	15
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10	11	14
11	Fagiano Okayama	9	4	1	4	12	12	13
12	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	0	6	12	16	12
13	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	3	4	9	16	12
14	Mito Hollyhock	10	2	3	5	12	14	9
15	V-Varen Nagasaki	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
16	Kyoto Sanga FC	10	2	2	6	11	19	8
17	Avispa Fukuoka	9	2	1	6	11	13	7
18	Gamba Osaka	10	1	4	5	10	18	7
19	JEF Utd Chiba	10	1	3	6	8	19	6
20	Tokyo Verdy	10	0	4	6	4	18	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kawasaki Frontale	Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka	4-2 W	1-0 W
Kashima Antlers	3-3 D	2-1 W
Tokyo Verdy	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vissel Kobe (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kawasaki Frontale

DDDWLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
11/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
19/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	3	4	D
12/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/09	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	1-0	3-1	8	5	W
02/09	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
29/08	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	4-2	4-2	5	6	W
22/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
09/08	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	1	D

Vissel Kobe

WWDLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
11/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
02/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
29/08	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
22/08	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
15/08	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	1-1	2-2	7	0	D
08/08	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
23/05	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kawasaki Frontale win (40%). Probabilities: Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 33%.

How many goals are expected in Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Kawasaki Frontale 1.5 · Vissel Kobe 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.