Football · Japan J-League · 21/10, 12:00
Prediction: Yokohama F-Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy
Team pages: Yokohama F-Marinos · Tokyo Verdy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Yokohama F-Marinos2.06
Tokyo Verdy0.57
1X2
Yokohama F-Marinos
Draw
Tokyo Verdy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Yokohama F-Marinos
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Tokyo Verdy
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yokohama F-Marinos
3–1–2
Tokyo Verdy
(6 last)
- Tokyo Verdy0-6Yokohama F-Marinos
- Yokohama F-Marinos3-2Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy1-0Yokohama F-Marinos
- Yokohama F-Marinos0-0Tokyo Verdy
- Yokohama F-Marinos1-2Tokyo Verdy
- Tokyo Verdy1-2Yokohama F-Marinos
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama F-Marinos (rating 1586 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Yokohama F-Marinos: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yokohama F-Marinos | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama F-Marinos 3–1–2 Tokyo Verdy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 28/02/26 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 09/08/25 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
| 05/04/25 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 29/06/24 Japan J-League | Yokohama F-Marinos | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Tokyo Verdy |
| 25/02/24 Japan J-League | Tokyo Verdy | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Yokohama F-Marinos |
Standings · Japan J-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 21 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Yokohama F-Marinos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Mito Hollyhock | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 19 | JEF Utd Chiba | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yokohama F-Marinos | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| JEF Utd Chiba | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Cerezo Osaka | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Vissel Kobe | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Kashima Antlers | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Yokohama F-Marinos (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yokohama F-Marinos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Machida Zelvia Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
2-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
Tokyo Verdy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FC Tokyo Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Vissel Kobe Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Kashima Antlers Japan J-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yokohama F-Marinos win (72%). Probabilities: Yokohama F-Marinos 72%, draw 20%, Tokyo Verdy 8%.
How many goals are expected in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Yokohama F-Marinos 2.06 · Tokyo Verdy 0.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yokohama F-Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.