Football · Japan J2-League · 12/09, 12:00
Prediction: FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu
Team pages: FC Imabari · Sagan Tosu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
FC Imabari1.3
Sagan Tosu1.56
1X2
FC Imabari
Draw
Sagan Tosu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Imabari
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Sagan Tosu
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Imabari
1–1–0
Sagan Tosu
(2 last)
- FC Imabari1-1Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu1-4FC Imabari
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagan Tosu (rating 1421 vs 1515).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Imabari | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Imabari 1–1–0 Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Japan J2-League | FC Imabari | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 01/03/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 1-4 HT 0-3 | FC Imabari |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Yokohama FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Vegalta Sendai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Fujieda MYFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Tochigi City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Kataller Toyama | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Albirex Niigata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Tokushima Vortis | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 13 | Ventforet Kofu | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Oita | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | Blaublitz Akita | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Iwaki FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Imabari | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Kataller Toyama | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Vegalta Sendai | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Imabari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/11 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/11 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sagan Tosu win (42%). Probabilities: FC Imabari 31%, draw 27%, Sagan Tosu 42%.
How many goals are expected in FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?
The model expects 2.86 goals (FC Imabari 1.3 · Sagan Tosu 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Imabari vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.