Football · Japan J2-League · 19/09, 12:00
Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki FC
Team pages: Sagan Tosu · Iwaki FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Sagan Tosu1.49
Iwaki FC0.97
1X2
Sagan Tosu
Draw
Iwaki FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sagan Tosu
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Iwaki FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagan Tosu
1–1–0
Iwaki FC
(2 last)
- Sagan Tosu1-0Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC1-1Sagan Tosu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagan Tosu | Iwaki FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6 | 2.1 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagan Tosu 1–1–0 Iwaki FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Iwaki FC |
| 09/03/25 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Montedio Yamagata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Blaublitz Akita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Ventforet Kofu | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Oita | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Iwaki FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 18 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sagan Tosu | Iwaki FC |
|---|---|---|
| FC Imabari | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Yokohama FC | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Tokushima Vortis | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Fujieda MYFC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
Iwaki FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/11 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/11 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagan Tosu win (48%). Probabilities: Sagan Tosu 48%, draw 29%, Iwaki FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki FC?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Sagan Tosu 1.49 · Iwaki FC 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.