Football · Japan J2-League · 19/09, 12:00
Prediction: Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama
Team pages: Montedio Yamagata · Kataller Toyama
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Montedio Yamagata1.61
Kataller Toyama1.28
1X2
Montedio Yamagata
Draw
Kataller Toyama
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Montedio Yamagata
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Kataller Toyama
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montedio Yamagata
1–2–0
Kataller Toyama
(3 last)
- Montedio Yamagata3-0Kataller Toyama
- Kataller Toyama0-0Montedio Yamagata
- Kataller Toyama0-0Montedio Yamagata
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montedio Yamagata | Kataller Toyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montedio Yamagata 1–2–0 Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Kataller Toyama |
| 29/04/25 Japan J2-League | Kataller Toyama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 13/03/24 Japan J-League Cup | Kataller Toyama | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Jubilo Iwata | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Montedio Yamagata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Albirex Niigata | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Blaublitz Akita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Ventforet Kofu | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Oita | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Iwaki FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 18 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montedio Yamagata | Kataller Toyama |
|---|---|---|
| Ventforet Kofu | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Imabari | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Tochigi City | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fujieda MYFC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Jubilo Iwata | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kataller Toyama (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/11 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/11 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Oita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/11 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/11 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/11 | Ehime FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montedio Yamagata win (44%). Probabilities: Montedio Yamagata 44%, draw 27%, Kataller Toyama 29%.
How many goals are expected in Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Montedio Yamagata 1.61 · Kataller Toyama 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.