Football · Japan J2-League · 26/09, 10:00
Prediction: Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu
Team pages: Omiya Ardija · Ventforet Kofu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Omiya Ardija1.8
Ventforet Kofu1.1
1X2
Omiya Ardija
Draw
Ventforet Kofu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Omiya Ardija
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Ventforet Kofu
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omiya Ardija
1–5
Ventforet Kofu
(6 last)
- Omiya Ardija1-2Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu2-1Omiya Ardija
- Ventforet Kofu1-0Omiya Ardija
- Omiya Ardija1-0Ventforet Kofu
- Omiya Ardija0-2Ventforet Kofu
- Ventforet Kofu5-1Omiya Ardija
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omiya Ardija (rating 1502 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Ventforet Kofu: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omiya Ardija | Ventforet Kofu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija 1–0–5 Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Omiya Ardija | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 28/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Ventforet Kofu | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Omiya Ardija |
| 12/07/25 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija |
| 22/02/25 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 29/10/23 Japan J2-League | Omiya Ardija | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ventforet Kofu |
| 27/05/23 Japan J2-League | Ventforet Kofu | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Omiya Ardija |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Jubilo Iwata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Tokushima Vortis | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Montedio Yamagata | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Iwaki FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Oita | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Ventforet Kofu | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
| 20 | FC Imabari | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omiya Ardija | Ventforet Kofu |
|---|---|---|
| Blaublitz Akita | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Tokushima Vortis | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Omiya Ardija (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omiya Ardija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/12 | JEF Utd Chiba Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/11 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Ventforet Kofu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/11 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija win (53%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija 53%, draw 25%, Ventforet Kofu 22%.
How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Omiya Ardija 1.8 · Ventforet Kofu 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.