Football · Japan J2-League · 07/11, 06:00
Prediction: Iwaki FC vs Montedio Yamagata
Team pages: Iwaki FC · Montedio Yamagata
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Iwaki FC1.71
Montedio Yamagata0.77
1X2
Iwaki FC
Draw
Montedio Yamagata
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Iwaki FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Montedio Yamagata
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Iwaki FC
1–1–4
Montedio Yamagata
(6 last)
- Montedio Yamagata1-0Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC0-1Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata1-2Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC0-0Montedio Yamagata
- Iwaki FC1-3Montedio Yamagata
- Montedio Yamagata3-0Iwaki FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iwaki FC (rating 1513 vs 1427).
- H2H favours Montedio Yamagata: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Iwaki FC | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iwaki FC 1–1–4 Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/25 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Iwaki FC |
| 12/04/25 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 14/07/24 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Iwaki FC |
| 24/03/24 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 04/11/23 Japan J2-League | Iwaki FC | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Montedio Yamagata |
| 11/06/23 Japan J2-League | Montedio Yamagata | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Iwaki FC |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 20 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Oita | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 19 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 17 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Iwaki FC | Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| Ventforet Kofu | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Vegalta Sendai | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Sagan Tosu | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Iwaki FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iwaki FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | L |
Montedio Yamagata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iwaki FC vs Montedio Yamagata?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Iwaki FC win (59%). Probabilities: Iwaki FC 59%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 15%.
How many goals are expected in Iwaki FC vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Iwaki FC 1.71 · Montedio Yamagata 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Iwaki FC vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.