Prediction: Loudoun United FC II vs Northern Virginia FC
| Loudoun United FC II | Draw | Northern Virginia FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| Market | 24% | 21% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loudoun United FC II (rating 1557 vs 1504).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Loudoun United FC II | Northern Virginia FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.8 | 3.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6 | 4.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Loudoun United FC II 0–1–0 Northern Virginia FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 USA USL League Two | Northern Virginia FC | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Loudoun United FC II |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Bethesda SC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 23 |
| 3 | Virginia Beach Utd | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | Charlottesville Blues | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Christos FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 36 | 23 |
| 6 | Loudoun United FC II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 19 |
| 7 | Annapolis Blues | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Northern Virginia FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 18 |
| 9 | Hill City FC | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 18 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Loudoun United FC II | Northern Virginia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Christos FC | 4-3 W | 5-1 W |
| Patuxent Football Athletics | 7-1 W | 8-0 W |
| Bethesda SC | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Annapolis Blues | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Lionsbridge FC | 1-4 L | 2-4 L |
| Charlottesville Blues | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Northern Virginia FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Loudoun United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Northern Virginia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/07 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Loudoun United FC II vs Northern Virginia FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Northern Virginia FC win (55%). Probabilities: Loudoun United FC II 25%, draw 21%, Northern Virginia FC 55%.
How many goals are expected in Loudoun United FC II vs Northern Virginia FC?
The model expects 4.19 goals (Loudoun United FC II 1.69 · Northern Virginia FC 2.5), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Loudoun United FC II vs Northern Virginia FC?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.