Prediction: New England FC vs Albany Rush
Expected goals: 4.16 (New England FC 2.72 · Albany Rush 1.44). The model gives 64% home, 18% draw, 18% away. Under 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, New England FC sits at 8-0-2 (W-D-L), while Albany Rush arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, New England FC won 3 and Albany Rush 0.
| New England FC | Draw | Albany Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England FC (rating 1561 vs 1509).
- H2H favours New England FC: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England FC | Albany Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | – / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England FC 3–0–0 Albany Rush
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 USA USL League Two | Albany Rush | 0-4 HT 0-3 | New England FC |
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Albany Rush | 2-5 HT 1-1 | New England FC |
| 08/06/25 USA USL League Two | New England FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Albany Rush |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 10 | 37 |
| 2 | New England FC | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | 33 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 14 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England FC | Albany Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Boston City FC | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Vermont Green | 0-4 L | 0-9 L |
| Connecticut Rush | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Black Rock FC | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Boston Bolts | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Western Mass Pioneers | 4-2 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: New England FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 04/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Albany Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England FC vs Albany Rush?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England FC win (64%). Probabilities: New England FC 64%, draw 18%, Albany Rush 18%.
How many goals are expected in New England FC vs Albany Rush?
The model expects 4.16 goals (New England FC 2.72 · Albany Rush 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in New England FC vs Albany Rush?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.