Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 00:00
Prediction: Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Boston Bolts2.03
Albany Rush1.21
1X2
Boston Bolts
Draw
Albany Rush
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boston Bolts
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Albany Rush
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boston Bolts
4–1–1
Albany Rush
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boston Bolts 1465 · Albany Rush 1521
| Boston Bolts | Draw | Albany Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Albany Rush (rating 1465 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Boston Bolts: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston Bolts | Albany Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4 | 4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Bolts 4–1–1 Albany Rush
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 USA USL League Two | Albany Rush | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boston Bolts |
| 14/06/25 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Albany Rush |
| 22/06/24 USA USL League Two | Albany Rush | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Boston Bolts |
| 06/06/24 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Albany Rush |
| 11/06/23 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Albany Rush |
| 14/07/22 USA USL League Two | Boston Bolts | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Albany Rush |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 10 | 37 |
| 2 | New England FC | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 14 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 12 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boston Bolts | Albany Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Black Rock FC | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Western Mass Pioneers | 1-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Seacoast United Phantoms | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Boston City FC | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Connecticut Rush | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| AC Connecticut | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Albany Rush (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston Bolts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Albany Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 29/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Bolts win (56%). Probabilities: Boston Bolts 56%, draw 23%, Albany Rush 22%.
How many goals are expected in Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Boston Bolts 2.03 · Albany Rush 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.