Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 00:00

Prediction: Staten Island ASC vs Morris Elite

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Staten Island ASC1.98
Morris Elite1.56
1X2
47% 23% 30%
Staten Island ASC Draw Morris Elite
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Staten Island ASC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Morris Elite 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Staten Island ASC 1–2 Morris Elite (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Staten Island ASC 1443 · Morris Elite 1422
Staten Island ASCDrawMorris Elite
Our model47%24%30%
Market47%23%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Morris Elite: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Staten Island ASCMorris Elite
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.61 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.20.8 / 1.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.24 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Staten Island ASC 102 Morris Elite

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/06/25
USA USL League Two
Morris Elite2-1
HT 1-0
Staten Island ASC
26/05/25
USA USL League Two
Staten Island ASC1-2
HT 0-2
Morris Elite
19/05/24
USA USL League Two
Morris Elite0-1
HT 0-1
Staten Island ASC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Motown STA 11911 40728
2 Ironbound 11830 261327
3 Long Island Rough Riders 11731 29824
4 Cedar Stars Rush 11533 171618
5 Hudson Valley Hammers 11524 252517
6 Manhattan SC 11434 292315
7 Staten Island ASC 11218 14297
8 New Jersey Copa 11218 14317
9 Morris Elite 11218 10337
10 Westchester Flames 11128 14335

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStaten Island ASCMorris Elite
New Jersey Copa 3-2 W 2-0 W
Long Island Rough Riders 0-6 L 1-2 L
Hudson Valley Hammers 2-3 L 3-4 L
Cedar Stars Rush 0-1 L 0-2 L
Manhattan SC 2-2 D 1-5 L
Westchester Flames 3-1 W 1-1 D
FC Motown STA 1-3 L 0-8 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Staten Island ASC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staten Island ASC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Ironbound
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-3 32 L
02/07 New Jersey Copa
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-2 34 W
28/06 Long Island Rough Riders
USA USL League Two
0-3 0-6 L
16/06 New Jersey Copa
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 L
14/06 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
2-0 2-3 L
07/06 Cedar Stars Rush
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
04/06 Manhattan SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-2 D
01/06 Westchester Flames
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-1 24 W
28/05 Long Island Rough Riders
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-3 36 L
25/05 FC Motown STA
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-3 03 L

Morris Elite

WLLLLLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Westchester Flames
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 D
03/07 FC Motown STA
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-8 32 L
28/06 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-4 L
25/06 New Jersey Copa
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 13 W
21/06 Cedar Stars Rush
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-2 L
11/06 Manhattan SC
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-5 L
08/06 Long Island Rough Riders
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 14 L
04/06 FC Motown STA
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-4 14 L
31/05 Manhattan SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-4 15 L
24/05 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 06 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staten Island ASC vs Morris Elite?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Staten Island ASC win (47%). Probabilities: Staten Island ASC 47%, draw 23%, Morris Elite 30%.

How many goals are expected in Staten Island ASC vs Morris Elite?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Staten Island ASC 1.98 · Morris Elite 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Staten Island ASC vs Morris Elite?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.