Prediction: Lorain County Leviathan FC vs Steel City
| Lorain County Leviathan FC | Draw | Steel City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 24% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Steel City (rating 1522 vs 1594).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lorain County Leviathan FC | Steel City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 4.2 | 2.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorain County Leviathan FC 0–1–0 Steel City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 USA USL League Two | Steel City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lorain County Leviathan FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Forest Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steel City | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Buffalo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Lorain County Leviathan FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 19 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | Akron City | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cleveland Force | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 40 | 9 |
| 7 | Erie Sports Center | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lorain County Leviathan FC | Steel City |
|---|---|---|
| Erie Sports Center | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Buffalo | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Akron City | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Cleveland Force | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds II | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Steel City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorain County Leviathan FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 18/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/06 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Steel City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/07 | Cleveland Force USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Erie Sports Center USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | FC Buffalo USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Akron City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorain County Leviathan FC vs Steel City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Steel City win (48%). Probabilities: Lorain County Leviathan FC 27%, draw 25%, Steel City 48%.
How many goals are expected in Lorain County Leviathan FC vs Steel City?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Lorain County Leviathan FC 1.2 · Steel City 1.69), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lorain County Leviathan FC vs Steel City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.