Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 01:00
Prediction: Nona FC vs Inter Gainesville KF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Nona FC2.06
Inter Gainesville KF0.96
1X2
Nona FC
Draw
Inter Gainesville KF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nona FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Inter Gainesville KF
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nona FC
4–1
Inter Gainesville KF
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nona FC 1527 · Inter Gainesville KF 1492
| Nona FC | Draw | Inter Gainesville KF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 64% | 18% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nona FC: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nona FC | Inter Gainesville KF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6 | 0 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nona FC 4–0–1 Inter Gainesville KF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 USA USL League Two | Inter Gainesville KF | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nona FC |
| 13/07/25 USA USL League Two | Inter Gainesville KF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nona FC |
| 26/06/24 USA USL League Two | Nona FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Gainesville KF |
| 13/06/24 USA USL League Two | Nona FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Inter Gainesville KF |
| 02/06/24 USA USL League Two | Inter Gainesville KF | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Nona FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Southeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brave SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Nona FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | Inter Gainesville KF | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
| 4 | Shark Coast FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 12 |
| 5 | Brooke House FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting JAX II | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nona FC | Inter Gainesville KF |
|---|---|---|
| Shark Coast FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Brooke House FC | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Sporting JAX II | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Brave SC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nona FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Inter Gainesville KF USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Shark Coast FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | Brooke House FC USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Sporting JAX II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/06 | Brave SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Brooke House FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Shark Coast FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Sporting JAX II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 21/05 | Shark Coast FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Brooke House FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Inter Gainesville KF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Brave SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nona FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Brooke House FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Sporting JAX II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Brave SC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/06 | Brooke House FC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Sporting JAX II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/06 | Shark Coast FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Sporting JAX II USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/05 | Brave SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nona FC vs Inter Gainesville KF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nona FC win (63%). Probabilities: Nona FC 63%, draw 20%, Inter Gainesville KF 17%.
How many goals are expected in Nona FC vs Inter Gainesville KF?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Nona FC 2.06 · Inter Gainesville KF 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Nona FC vs Inter Gainesville KF?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.