Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 02:30
Prediction: Denton Diablos FC vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.35Total
Denton Diablos FC3.18
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC1.18
1X2
Denton Diablos FC
Draw
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Denton Diablos FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Denton Diablos FC
5–1–0
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denton Diablos FC 1555 · Fort Worth Vaqueros FC 1356
| Denton Diablos FC | Draw | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denton Diablos FC (rating 1555 vs 1356).
- H2H favours Denton Diablos FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Denton Diablos FC | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 3.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/0/70% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Denton Diablos FC 5–1–0 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA USL League Two | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Denton Diablos FC |
| 19/05/24 USA NPSL | Denton Diablos FC | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC |
| 12/05/24 USA NPSL | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Denton Diablos FC |
| 25/06/23 USA NPSL | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Denton Diablos FC |
| 08/05/23 USA NPSL | Denton Diablos FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC |
| 19/06/22 USA NPSL | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Denton Diablos FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Ranger Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texoma FC | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | McKinney Chupacabras FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Denton Diablos FC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 22 |
| 4 | West Texas FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 15 |
| 5 | Lubbock Matadors SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 6 | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 40 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Denton Diablos FC | Fort Worth Vaqueros FC |
|---|---|---|
| Texoma FC | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| West Texas FC | 3-2 W | 0-6 L |
| McKinney Chupacabras FC | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Lubbock Matadors SC | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Denton Diablos FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denton Diablos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/07 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 5-5 | – | – | D |
| 23/06 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
0-4 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | West Texas FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
0-4 | 1-7 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/06 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | McKinney Chupacabras FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Texoma FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Lubbock Matadors SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denton Diablos FC vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Denton Diablos FC win (82%). Probabilities: Denton Diablos FC 82%, draw 11%, Fort Worth Vaqueros FC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Denton Diablos FC vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC?
The model expects 4.35 goals (Denton Diablos FC 3.18 · Fort Worth Vaqueros FC 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Denton Diablos FC vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.