Prediction: Northern Indiana FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions FC
| Northern Indiana FC | Draw | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 17% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northern Indiana FC (rating 1534 vs 1491).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northern Indiana FC | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern Indiana FC 0–0–1 Dayton Dutch Lions FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 USA USL League Two | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Northern Indiana FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Valley Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Virginia United | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Northern Indiana FC | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 21 |
| 3 | Louisville City FC II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kings Hammer Columbus | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 5 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
| 6 | Toledo Villa FC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northern Indiana FC | Dayton Dutch Lions FC |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo Villa FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Louisville City FC II | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Kings Hammer Columbus | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| West Virginia United | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Northern Indiana FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northern Indiana FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Dayton Dutch Lions FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | West Virginia United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/06 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | West Virginia United USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Dayton Dutch Lions FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | West Virginia United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | West Virginia United USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Northern Indiana FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/06 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Kings Hammer Columbus USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Toledo Villa FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Louisville City FC II USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northern Indiana FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Northern Indiana FC win (69%). Probabilities: Northern Indiana FC 69%, draw 18%, Dayton Dutch Lions FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Northern Indiana FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions FC?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Northern Indiana FC 2.45 · Dayton Dutch Lions FC 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Northern Indiana FC vs Dayton Dutch Lions FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.