Football · USA USL League Two · 11/07, 02:00

Prediction: FC Motown STA vs Long Island Rough Riders

Expected goals: 3.31 (FC Motown STA 2.02 · Long Island Rough Riders 1.29). The model gives 54% home, 23% draw, 24% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves FC Motown STA with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Long Island Rough Riders has piled up 6-3-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Motown STA won 2 and Long Island Rough Riders 3, with 1 draw.

54%1
54% 23% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Motown STA 1600 · Long Island Rough Riders 1567
FC Motown STADrawLong Island Rough Riders
Our model53%23%23%
Market54%22%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.31FC Motown STA 2.02 · Long Island Rough Riders 1.29
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Long Island Rough Riders: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Motown STALong Island Rough Riders
Goals for / against (FT)3.4 / 0.72.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.21.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 63.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 04.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Motown STA 213 Long Island Rough Riders

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
USA USL League Two
Long Island Rough Riders0-0
HT 0-0
FC Motown STA
09/06/25
USA USL League Two
Long Island Rough Riders1-3
HT 1-1
FC Motown STA
26/05/24
USA USL League Two
FC Motown STA1-3
HT 0-1
Long Island Rough Riders
01/06/23
USA USL League Two
Long Island Rough Riders3-2
HT 1-1
FC Motown STA
19/06/22
USA USL League Two
FC Motown STA2-3
HT 0-3
Long Island Rough Riders
27/06/21
USA USL League Two
FC Motown STA1-0
HT 1-0
Long Island Rough Riders

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Motown STA 11911 40728
2 Ironbound 11830 261327
3 Long Island Rough Riders 11731 29824
4 Cedar Stars Rush 11533 171618
5 Hudson Valley Hammers 11524 252517
6 Manhattan SC 11434 292315
7 Staten Island ASC 11218 14297
8 New Jersey Copa 11218 14317
9 Morris Elite 11218 10337
10 Westchester Flames 11128 14335

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Motown STALong Island Rough Riders
Hudson Valley Hammers 5-0 W 1-3 L
Morris Elite 8-0 W 2-1 W
Ironbound 0-1 L 2-2 D
Manhattan SC 3-1 W 4-0 W
Cedar Stars Rush 5-3 W 1-1 D
Staten Island ASC 3-1 W 6-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Motown STA

WWWWDWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
1-0 5-0 57 W
03/07 Morris Elite
USA USL League Two
2-0 8-0 42 W
25/06 Ironbound
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
20/06 New Jersey Copa
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-0 W
17/06 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 W
13/06 Long Island Rough Riders
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
07/06 Manhattan SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-1 83 W
04/06 Morris Elite
USA USL League Two
2-0 4-0 44 W
31/05 Cedar Stars Rush
USA USL League Two
3-1 5-3 W
25/05 Staten Island ASC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 93 W

Long Island Rough Riders

WDLWDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Cedar Stars Rush
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 64 D
28/06 Staten Island ASC
USA USL League Two
3-0 6-0 W
26/06 Cedar Stars Rush
USA USL League Two
3-1 4-1 34 W
21/06 Westchester Flames
USA USL League Two
1-0 4-0 86 W
17/06 Manhattan SC
USA USL League Two
2-0 4-0 43 W
13/06 FC Motown STA
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 D
08/06 Morris Elite
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 64 W
04/06 Hudson Valley Hammers
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-3 82 L
31/05 Ironbound
USA USL League Two
2-2 2-2 D
28/05 Staten Island ASC
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-0 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Motown STA vs Long Island Rough Riders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Motown STA win (54%). Probabilities: FC Motown STA 54%, draw 23%, Long Island Rough Riders 24%.

How many goals are expected in FC Motown STA vs Long Island Rough Riders?

The model expects 3.31 goals (FC Motown STA 2.02 · Long Island Rough Riders 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Motown STA vs Long Island Rough Riders?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.