Football · USA USL League Two · 11/07, 17:00
Prediction: New Jersey Copa vs Westchester Flames
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
New Jersey Copa2.48
Westchester Flames1.49
1X2
New Jersey Copa
Draw
Westchester Flames
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
New Jersey Copa
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Westchester Flames
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New Jersey Copa
5–1
Westchester Flames
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New Jersey Copa 1432 · Westchester Flames 1421
| New Jersey Copa | Draw | Westchester Flames | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| Market | 59% | 20% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours New Jersey Copa: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New Jersey Copa | Westchester Flames | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New Jersey Copa 5–0–1 Westchester Flames
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 2-4 HT 2-2 | New Jersey Copa |
| 22/05/25 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Westchester Flames |
| 23/05/24 USA USL League Two | Westchester Flames | 2-0 HT 1-0 | New Jersey Copa |
| 14/06/23 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 09/07/22 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Westchester Flames |
| 29/05/21 USA USL League Two | New Jersey Copa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Westchester Flames |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Motown STA | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Ironbound | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Cedar Stars Rush | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 25 | 17 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | Staten Island ASC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
| 8 | New Jersey Copa | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 7 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New Jersey Copa | Westchester Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Manhattan SC | 0-6 L | 5-0 W |
| Staten Island ASC | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Ironbound | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Morris Elite | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Cedar Stars Rush | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Hudson Valley Hammers | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New Jersey Copa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
Westchester Flames
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
2-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New Jersey Copa vs Westchester Flames?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New Jersey Copa win (59%). Probabilities: New Jersey Copa 59%, draw 20%, Westchester Flames 21%.
How many goals are expected in New Jersey Copa vs Westchester Flames?
The model expects 3.97 goals (New Jersey Copa 2.48 · Westchester Flames 1.49), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in New Jersey Copa vs Westchester Flames?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.