Football · USA USL League Two · 11/07, 22:00
Prediction: Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
Seacoast United Phantoms2.37
AC Connecticut1.5
1X2
Seacoast United Phantoms
Draw
AC Connecticut
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Seacoast United Phantoms
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
AC Connecticut
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Seacoast United Phantoms
4–2
AC Connecticut
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seacoast United Phantoms 1511 · AC Connecticut 1426
| Seacoast United Phantoms | Draw | AC Connecticut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seacoast United Phantoms (rating 1511 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Seacoast United Phantoms: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seacoast United Phantoms | AC Connecticut | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seacoast United Phantoms 4–0–2 AC Connecticut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA USL League Two | AC Connecticut | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 19/05/25 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AC Connecticut |
| 27/06/24 USA USL League Two | AC Connecticut | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 19/05/24 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 6-1 HT 2-0 | AC Connecticut |
| 12/07/23 USA USL League Two | AC Connecticut | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 18/07/22 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 2-0 HT 2-0 | AC Connecticut |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 10 | 37 |
| 2 | New England FC | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 36 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 14 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 12 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Seacoast United Phantoms | AC Connecticut |
|---|---|---|
| Black Rock FC | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Boston City FC | 5-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Boston Bolts | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Vermont Green | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Connecticut Rush | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Albany Rush | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Seacoast United Phantoms (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seacoast United Phantoms
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 02/07 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
AC Connecticut
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Seacoast United Phantoms win (56%). Probabilities: Seacoast United Phantoms 56%, draw 21%, AC Connecticut 23%.
How many goals are expected in Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut?
The model expects 3.87 goals (Seacoast United Phantoms 2.37 · AC Connecticut 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.