Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 01:00

Prediction: St Croix SC vs Rockford Raptors

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
St Croix SC2.01
Rockford Raptors1.79
1X2
43% 23% 34%
St Croix SC Draw Rockford Raptors
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
St Croix SC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWLLWW
Rockford Raptors 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLWWWW
Head-to-head
St Croix SC 0–1 Rockford Raptors (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Croix SC 1515 · Rockford Raptors 1523
St Croix SCDrawRockford Raptors
Our model43%23%34%
Market43%23%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St Croix SCRockford Raptors
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.91.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 10.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 3.41.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.32 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Croix SC 001 Rockford Raptors

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/06/26
USA USL League Two
Rockford Raptors4-2
HT 2-2
St Croix SC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Heartland Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Minneapolis City SC 101000 38630
2 Sueno 10703 34921
3 Rockford Raptors 11605 192218
4 Chicago Dutch Lions 10514 182216
5 St Croix SC 11506 232515
6 RKC Third Coast 11416 141813
7 River Light SC 8224 13168
8 Edgewater Castle FC 9207 14296
9 Rochester FC 10208 9356

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt Croix SCRockford Raptors
Rochester FC 3-1 W 2-0 W
Edgewater Castle FC 7-1 W 3-2 W
Minneapolis City SC 0-3 L 0-3 L
Sueno 1-3 L 1-0 W
Chicago Dutch Lions 4-1 W 1-3 L
RKC Third Coast 0-1 L 2-0 W
River Light SC 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rockford Raptors (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Croix SC

LWLLWWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Rochester FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 51 W
05/07 Edgewater Castle FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 7-1 44 W
02/07 Minneapolis City SC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 14 L
22/06 Sueno
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-3 43 L
14/06 Rochester FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 3-0 W
11/06 Chicago Dutch Lions
USA USL League Two
3-1 4-1 21 W
08/06 RKC Third Coast
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-1 32 L
04/06 Rockford Raptors
USA USL League Two
2-2 2-4 L
31/05 River Light SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-1 55 W
28/05 Minneapolis City SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-4 34 L

Rockford Raptors

LWWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 River Light SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 W
27/06 Rochester FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 42 W
25/06 Edgewater Castle FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-2 04 W
18/06 Sueno
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 W
14/06 Minneapolis City SC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 L
11/06 Sueno
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-4 L
07/06 River Light SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-4 70 L
04/06 St Croix SC
USA USL League Two
2-2 4-2 W
01/06 RKC Third Coast
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 02 W
28/05 Chicago Dutch Lions
USA USL League Two
1-3 1-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Croix SC vs Rockford Raptors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Croix SC win (43%). Probabilities: St Croix SC 43%, draw 23%, Rockford Raptors 34%.

How many goals are expected in St Croix SC vs Rockford Raptors?

The model expects 3.8 goals (St Croix SC 2.01 · Rockford Raptors 1.79), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in St Croix SC vs Rockford Raptors?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.