Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 01:00
Prediction: Patuxent Football Athletics vs Virginia Beach Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Patuxent Football Athletics1.6
Virginia Beach Utd2.34
1X2
Patuxent Football Athletics
Draw
Virginia Beach Utd
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Patuxent Football Athletics
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Virginia Beach Utd
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patuxent Football Athletics
0–6
Virginia Beach Utd
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virginia Beach Utd (rating 1367 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Virginia Beach Utd: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patuxent Football Athletics | Virginia Beach Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 4 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 2 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/10/90% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.7 | 2.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patuxent Football Athletics 0–0–6 Virginia Beach Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/25 USA USL League Two | Virginia Beach Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Patuxent Football Athletics |
| 18/05/25 USA USL League Two | Patuxent Football Athletics | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Virginia Beach Utd |
| 09/06/24 USA USL League Two | Patuxent Football Athletics | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Virginia Beach Utd |
| 23/05/24 USA USL League Two | Virginia Beach Utd | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Patuxent Football Athletics |
| 16/07/23 USA USL League Two | Virginia Beach Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Patuxent Football Athletics |
| 11/06/23 USA USL League Two | Patuxent Football Athletics | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Virginia Beach Utd |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Bethesda SC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 23 |
| 3 | Virginia Beach Utd | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | Charlottesville Blues | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Christos FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 36 | 23 |
| 6 | Loudoun United FC II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 19 |
| 7 | Annapolis Blues | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Northern Virginia FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 18 |
| 9 | Hill City FC | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 18 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patuxent Football Athletics | Virginia Beach Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Hill City FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Bethesda SC | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Loudoun United FC II | 1-7 L | 1-2 L |
| Lionsbridge FC | 0-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Virginia Marauders | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Annapolis Blues | 0-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Virginia Beach Utd (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patuxent Football Athletics
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/07 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-8 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
Virginia Beach Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
4-2 | 5-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patuxent Football Athletics vs Virginia Beach Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Virginia Beach Utd win (54%). Probabilities: Patuxent Football Athletics 25%, draw 21%, Virginia Beach Utd 54%.
How many goals are expected in Patuxent Football Athletics vs Virginia Beach Utd?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Patuxent Football Athletics 1.6 · Virginia Beach Utd 2.34), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Patuxent Football Athletics vs Virginia Beach Utd?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.