Prediction: Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC
| Annapolis Blues | Draw | Bethesda SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bethesda SC (rating 1507 vs 1558).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annapolis Blues | Bethesda SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 8 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annapolis Blues 0–1–0 Bethesda SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 USA USL League Two | Bethesda SC | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Annapolis Blues |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Bethesda SC | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 24 | 23 |
| 3 | Virginia Beach Utd | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 24 |
| 4 | Charlottesville Blues | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Christos FC | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 36 | 23 |
| 6 | Loudoun United FC II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 19 |
| 7 | Annapolis Blues | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 20 |
| 8 | Northern Virginia FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 18 |
| 9 | Hill City FC | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 18 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Annapolis Blues | Bethesda SC |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia Beach Utd | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Virginia Marauders | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Christos FC | 6-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Loudoun United FC II | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Patuxent Football Athletics | 7-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Annapolis Blues (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annapolis Blues
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 01/07 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 4-1 | 18 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 6-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/06 | Bethesda SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Santos Laguna America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
4-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Bethesda SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Virginia Marauders USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Annapolis Blues win (56%). Probabilities: Annapolis Blues 56%, draw 21%, Bethesda SC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Annapolis Blues 2.4 · Bethesda SC 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.