Football · USA USL League Two · 12/07, 01:00
Prediction: Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Hudson Valley Hammers2.15
Cedar Stars Rush1.35
1X2
Hudson Valley Hammers
Draw
Cedar Stars Rush
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hudson Valley Hammers
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Cedar Stars Rush
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hudson Valley Hammers
6–0
Cedar Stars Rush
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hudson Valley Hammers 1514 · Cedar Stars Rush 1512
| Hudson Valley Hammers | Draw | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hudson Valley Hammers: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hudson Valley Hammers | Cedar Stars Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hudson Valley Hammers 6–0–0 Cedar Stars Rush
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 05/06/25 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 30/05/24 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 15/06/23 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 01/06/23 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-5 HT 2-3 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 07/07/22 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 3-5 HT 3-2 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Motown STA | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Ironbound | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Cedar Stars Rush | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 25 | 17 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 15 |
| 7 | Staten Island ASC | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 7 |
| 8 | New Jersey Copa | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 7 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hudson Valley Hammers | Cedar Stars Rush |
|---|---|---|
| FC Motown STA | 0-5 L | 3-5 L |
| Morris Elite | 4-3 W | 2-0 W |
| Westchester Flames | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Staten Island ASC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Long Island Rough Riders | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| New Jersey Copa | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Ironbound | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hudson Valley Hammers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Cedar Stars Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hudson Valley Hammers win (55%). Probabilities: Hudson Valley Hammers 55%, draw 21%, Cedar Stars Rush 23%.
How many goals are expected in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Hudson Valley Hammers 2.15 · Cedar Stars Rush 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.