Prediction: Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State FC
See it on the live radar ↗| Santafe Wanderers | Draw | Sunflower State FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santafe Wanderers (rating 1536 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Santafe Wanderers: 3-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santafe Wanderers | Sunflower State FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santafe Wanderers 3–1–1 Sunflower State FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 USA USL League Two | Sunflower State FC | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Santafe Wanderers |
| 25/06/26 USA USL League Two | Santafe Wanderers | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Sunflower State FC |
| 10/07/25 USA USL League Two | Sunflower State FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Santafe Wanderers |
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Sunflower State FC | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Santafe Wanderers |
| 12/06/25 USA USL League Two | Santafe Wanderers | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Sunflower State FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Plains Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peoria City | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Santafe Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | St. Louis Ambush | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
| 4 | Des Moines Menace | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 5 | Sunflower State FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 6 | Springfield FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santafe Wanderers | Sunflower State FC |
|---|---|---|
| Des Moines Menace | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Springfield FC | 4-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Peoria City | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| St. Louis Ambush | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santafe Wanderers (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santafe Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Sunflower State FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Sunflower State FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Peoria City USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | St. Louis Ambush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Peoria City USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | St. Louis Ambush USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Sunflower State FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Peoria City USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Santafe Wanderers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Santafe Wanderers USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Peoria City USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | St. Louis Ambush USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Des Moines Menace USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Springfield FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santafe Wanderers win (70%). Probabilities: Santafe Wanderers 70%, draw 17%, Sunflower State FC 13%.
How many goals are expected in Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State FC?
The model expects 4.04 goals (Santafe Wanderers 2.82 · Sunflower State FC 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.