Football · Sweden Cup Qualification · 19/08, 18:30
Prediction: Hogaborgs BK vs Osters IF
Team pages: Osters IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Hogaborgs BK0.98
Osters IF2.67
1X2
Hogaborgs BK
Draw
Osters IF
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Hogaborgs BK
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Osters IF
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hogaborgs BK 1439 · Osters IF 1511
| Hogaborgs BK | Draw | Osters IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 17% | 73% |
| Market | 10% | 18% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Osters IF (rating 1439 vs 1511).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hogaborgs BK | Osters IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hogaborgs BK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/10 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Linero IF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Nosaby Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Växjö Norra Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | FK Karlskrona Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Osters IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lyngby Club Friendly List |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Trelleborgs FF Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hogaborgs BK vs Osters IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Osters IF win (72%). Probabilities: Hogaborgs BK 10%, draw 17%, Osters IF 72%.
How many goals are expected in Hogaborgs BK vs Osters IF?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Hogaborgs BK 0.98 · Osters IF 2.67), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hogaborgs BK vs Osters IF?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.