Football · Sweden Cup Qualification · 19/08, 18:30
Prediction: IK Franke vs Ljungskile
Team pages: IK Franke · Ljungskile
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
IK Franke1.02
Ljungskile2.35
1X2
IK Franke
Draw
Ljungskile
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
IK Franke
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Ljungskile
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IK Franke 1487 · Ljungskile 1487
| IK Franke | Draw | Ljungskile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 21% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IK Franke | Ljungskile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IK Franke
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 03/06 | Forssa BK Sweden Cup Qualification |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 29/05 | Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Ljungskile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | IFK Varnamo Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IK Franke vs Ljungskile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ljungskile win (66%). Probabilities: IK Franke 14%, draw 20%, Ljungskile 66%.
How many goals are expected in IK Franke vs Ljungskile?
The model expects 3.37 goals (IK Franke 1.02 · Ljungskile 2.35), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IK Franke vs Ljungskile?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.