Football · Sweden Cup Qualification · 20/08, 18:30
Prediction: Piteå IF vs AIK
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Piteå IF0.9
AIK2.9
1X2
Piteå IF
Draw
AIK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Piteå IF
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
AIK
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Piteå IF 1443 · AIK 1544
| Piteå IF | Draw | AIK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 5% | 10% | 84% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIK (rating 1443 vs 1544).
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Piteå IF | AIK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Piteå IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Ostra Ersboda FC Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
AIK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Orgryte IS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | BK Hacken Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | IFK Vasteras FK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Vasteras SK Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Kalmar FF Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Piteå IF vs AIK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AIK win (81%). Probabilities: Piteå IF 7%, draw 12%, AIK 81%.
How many goals are expected in Piteå IF vs AIK?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Piteå IF 0.9 · AIK 2.9), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Piteå IF vs AIK?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.