Football · Sweden Cup Qualification · 19/08, 18:30
Prediction: IFK Östersund vs Degerfors
Team pages: IFK Östersund · Degerfors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
IFK Östersund0.61
Degerfors2.61
1X2
IFK Östersund
Draw
Degerfors
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
IFK Östersund
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Degerfors
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IFK Östersund 1506 · Degerfors 1489
| IFK Östersund | Draw | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 5% | 11% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IFK Östersund | Degerfors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IFK Östersund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lucksta IF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/08 | Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-3 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | IFK Luleå Sweden 2.div Norrland |
3-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Team TG FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Kubikenborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norrland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/06 | Fränsta IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | Friska Viljor FC Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | Kubikenborgs IF Sweden Cup Qualification |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Gottne IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Degerfors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Djurgarden Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 04/07 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Lillestrom Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IFK Östersund vs Degerfors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Degerfors win (82%). Probabilities: IFK Östersund 6%, draw 13%, Degerfors 82%.
How many goals are expected in IFK Östersund vs Degerfors?
The model expects 3.22 goals (IFK Östersund 0.61 · Degerfors 2.61), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in IFK Östersund vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.