Football · Sweden Cup Qualification · 19/08, 18:00
Prediction: Växjö Norra vs IFK Varnamo
Team pages: Växjö Norra · IFK Varnamo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Växjö Norra0.92
IFK Varnamo2.05
1X2
Växjö Norra
Draw
IFK Varnamo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Växjö Norra
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
IFK Varnamo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Växjö Norra 1486 · IFK Varnamo 1456
| Växjö Norra | Draw | IFK Varnamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| Market | 16% | 20% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Växjö Norra | IFK Varnamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 22/22/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 6.4 | 2.6 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Växjö Norra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Husqvarna FF Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/06 | IFK Berga Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Oskarshamns AIK Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | IFK Trelleborg Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Staffanstorp United Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/06 | Hovshaga AIF Sweden Cup Qualification |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Räppe GOIF Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | IFK Karlshamn Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
IFK Varnamo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/08 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Orebro SK Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Ljungskile Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | Naestved Club Friendly List |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | IK Brage Sweden Superettan |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Helsingborg Sweden Superettan |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Osters IF Sweden Superettan |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Växjö Norra vs IFK Varnamo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an IFK Varnamo win (63%). Probabilities: Växjö Norra 16%, draw 21%, IFK Varnamo 63%.
How many goals are expected in Växjö Norra vs IFK Varnamo?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Växjö Norra 0.92 · IFK Varnamo 2.05), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Växjö Norra vs IFK Varnamo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.