Football · Serbia Super Liga · 17/07, 20:00

Prediction: Crvena Zvezda vs FK Macva Sabac

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Crvena Zvezda2.52
FK Macva Sabac0.52
1X2
84% 12% 4%
Crvena Zvezda Draw FK Macva Sabac
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Crvena Zvezda 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDDLWDDL
FK Macva Sabac 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWWLDWLLL
Head-to-head
Crvena Zvezda 6–0 FK Macva Sabac (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crvena Zvezda 1512 · FK Macva Sabac 1479
Crvena ZvezdaDrawFK Macva Sabac
Our model80%15%5%
Market87%9%4%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Crvena ZvezdaFK Macva Sabac
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%22/33/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 61.3 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crvena Zvezda 600 FK Macva Sabac

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/09/22
Serbia Cup
FK Macva Sabac0-2
HT 0-0
Crvena Zvezda
11/03/21
Serbia Super Liga
Crvena Zvezda4-0
HT 2-0
FK Macva Sabac
09/08/20
Serbia Super Liga
FK Macva Sabac0-3
HT 0-1
Crvena Zvezda
07/03/20
Serbia Super Liga
FK Macva Sabac0-3
HT 0-3
Crvena Zvezda
20/11/19
Serbia Cup
Crvena Zvezda1-0
HT 0-0
FK Macva Sabac
28/09/19
Serbia Super Liga
Crvena Zvezda3-1
HT 3-0
FK Macva Sabac

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Crvena Zvezda 000 000
1 FK Cukaricki 000 000
1 IMT Novi Belgrade 000 000
1 FK Macva Sabac 000 000
1 Mladost Lucani 000 000
1 FK Novi Pazar 000 000
1 Partizan Belgrade 000 000
1 FK Radnicki 1923 000 000
1 Radnicki Nis 000 000
1 FK Radnik Surdulica 000 000
1 Vojvodina 000 000
1 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 000 000
1 FK Zemun 000 000
1 OFK Beograd 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCrvena ZvezdaFK Macva Sabac
FK Novi Pazar 1-2 L 2-1 W
Jedinstvo UB 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Macva Sabac (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crvena Zvezda

WWLDDLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Zenit St Petersburg
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-3 34 L
03/07 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-2 60 D
29/06 Slovan Bratislava
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 50 D
25/06 SKU Amstetten
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 62 W
22/05 OFK Beograd
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 1-2 121 L
17/05 FK Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 45 D
13/05 Vojvodina
Serbia Cup
0-2 2-2 915 D
09/05 FK Novi Pazar
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 1-2 36 L
04/05 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
2-1 2-1 54 W
30/04 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Cup
1-1 2-1 74 W

FK Macva Sabac

WLWWLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 FK Proleter 023
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 52 L
14/07 FK Naftagas Elemir
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 L
05/07 Mladost Lucani
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 35 L
01/07 FK Novi Pazar
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 25 W
27/06 OFK Petrovac
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-2 L
03/05 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-0 012 W
27/04 OFK Vrsac
Serbia Prva Liga
3-0 W
22/04 FK Zemun
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-2 33 L
18/04 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 2-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Macva Sabac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crvena Zvezda win (84%). Probabilities: Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 12%, FK Macva Sabac 4%.

How many goals are expected in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Macva Sabac?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Crvena Zvezda 2.52 · FK Macva Sabac 0.52), with a 60% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Macva Sabac?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.