Football · Serbia Super Liga · 26/07, 21:00

Prediction: FK Macva Sabac vs Partizan Belgrade

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
FK Macva Sabac0.77
Partizan Belgrade1.81
1X2
16% 22% 62%
FK Macva Sabac Draw Partizan Belgrade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Macva Sabac 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWLLLL
Partizan Belgrade 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWWDWD
Head-to-head
FK Macva Sabac 1–1–4 Partizan Belgrade (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Macva Sabac 1463 · Partizan Belgrade 1546
FK Macva SabacDrawPartizan Belgrade
Our model14%25%61%
Market17%20%63%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1463 vs 1546).
  • H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Macva SabacPartizan Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/33/56%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.12.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Macva Sabac 114 Partizan Belgrade

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/10/25
Serbia Cup
FK Macva Sabac2-0
HT 1-0
Partizan Belgrade
16/04/21
Serbia Super Liga
FK Macva Sabac1-2
HT 1-1
Partizan Belgrade
31/10/20
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade2-0
HT 0-0
FK Macva Sabac
01/12/19
Serbia Super Liga
FK Macva Sabac0-2
HT 0-1
Partizan Belgrade
04/08/19
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade4-0
HT 2-0
FK Macva Sabac
14/12/18
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade0-0
HT 0-0
FK Macva Sabac

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Crvena Zvezda 1100 503
2 Vojvodina 1100 403
3 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1100 213
4 IMT Novi Belgrade 1100 103
4 FK Novi Pazar 1100 103
6 Partizan Belgrade 1010 221
7 FK Zemun 1010 221
8 Mladost Lucani 1010 111
9 FK Radnik Surdulica 1010 111
10 Radnicki Nis 1001 120
11 FK Cukaricki 1001 010
11 FK Radnicki 1923 1001 010
13 OFK Beograd 1001 040
14 FK Macva Sabac 1001 050

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Macva SabacPartizan Belgrade
FK Novi Pazar 2-1 W 2-1 W
FK Zemun 0-2 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Partizan Belgrade (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Macva Sabac

LWWLDWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Crvena Zvezda
Serbia Super Liga
0-3 0-5 02 L
14/07 FK Naftagas Elemir
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 L
14/07 FK Proleter 023
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 52 L
05/07 Mladost Lucani
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 35 L
01/07 FK Novi Pazar
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 25 W
27/06 OFK Petrovac
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-2 L
03/05 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-0 012 W
27/04 OFK Vrsac
Serbia Prva Liga
3-0 W
22/04 FK Zemun
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-2 33 L

Partizan Belgrade

WDDWLWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 FK Zemun
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 2-2 56 D
11/07 NK Nafta 1903
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-1 33 W
10/07 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-2 51 D
06/07 Neftchi Baku
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 78 W
02/07 NK Aluminij
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 10 W
29/06 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 41 L
23/05 FK Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
2-0 5-0 61 W
17/05 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 26 D
09/05 OFK Beograd
Serbia Super Liga
1-1 1-1 97 D
02/05 FK Novi Pazar
Serbia Super Liga
2-0 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Macva Sabac vs Partizan Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (62%). Probabilities: FK Macva Sabac 16%, draw 22%, Partizan Belgrade 62%.

How many goals are expected in FK Macva Sabac vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model expects 2.58 goals (FK Macva Sabac 0.77 · Partizan Belgrade 1.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Macva Sabac vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.