Football · Serbia Super Liga · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: FK Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Belgrade
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
FK Cukaricki1.22
IMT Novi Belgrade0.75
1X2
FK Cukaricki
Draw
IMT Novi Belgrade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Cukaricki
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
IMT Novi Belgrade
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Cukaricki
1–3–2
IMT Novi Belgrade
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Cukaricki 1495 · IMT Novi Belgrade 1507
| FK Cukaricki | Draw | IMT Novi Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IMT Novi Belgrade: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Cukaricki | IMT Novi Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Cukaricki 1–3–2 IMT Novi Belgrade
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 27/07/25 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-3 HT 1-3 | FK Cukaricki |
| 12/05/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 1-1 HT 0-1 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 07/04/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 0-2 HT 0-1 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 09/11/24 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Cukaricki |
| 18/12/23 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 0-1 HT 0-1 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Cukaricki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Macva Sabac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mladost Lucani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partizan Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Radnicki Nis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vojvodina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zemun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Beograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Cukaricki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | NK Celje Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 22/04 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
IMT Novi Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FK Radnicki 1923 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/07 | Mladost Lucani Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Borac Banja Luka Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Belgrade?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Cukaricki win (48%). Probabilities: FK Cukaricki 48%, draw 29%, IMT Novi Belgrade 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Belgrade?
The model expects 1.96 goals (FK Cukaricki 1.22 · IMT Novi Belgrade 0.75), with a 60% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Cukaricki vs IMT Novi Belgrade?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.