Football · Serbia Super Liga · 18/07, 20:00
Prediction: FK Zemun vs Partizan Belgrade
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
FK Zemun0.7
Partizan Belgrade1.88
1X2
FK Zemun
Draw
Partizan Belgrade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zemun
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Partizan Belgrade
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zemun
0–1–5
Partizan Belgrade
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zemun 1522 · Partizan Belgrade 1544
| FK Zemun | Draw | Partizan Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 23% | 64% |
| Market | 13% | 22% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zemun | Partizan Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zemun 0–1–5 Partizan Belgrade
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/20 Europe Friendlies | Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Zemun |
| 05/12/18 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zemun |
| 24/10/18 Serbia Cup | FK Zemun | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 12/08/18 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zemun | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 25/02/18 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Zemun |
| 25/10/17 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zemun | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Partizan Belgrade |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Cukaricki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Macva Sabac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mladost Lucani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partizan Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Radnicki Nis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vojvodina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zemun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Beograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zemun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | FK FAP Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | SU Dinamo Jug Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Partizan Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | NK Nafta 1903 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Neftchi Baku Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 02/07 | NK Aluminij Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zemun vs Partizan Belgrade?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (65%). Probabilities: FK Zemun 13%, draw 22%, Partizan Belgrade 65%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zemun vs Partizan Belgrade?
The model expects 2.58 goals (FK Zemun 0.7 · Partizan Belgrade 1.88), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zemun vs Partizan Belgrade?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.