Football · Serbia Super Liga · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: FK Radnik Surdulica vs Mladost Lucani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
FK Radnik Surdulica1.26
Mladost Lucani0.94
1X2
FK Radnik Surdulica
Draw
Mladost Lucani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Radnik Surdulica
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Mladost Lucani
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Radnik Surdulica
1–3–2
Mladost Lucani
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Radnik Surdulica 1489 · Mladost Lucani 1581
| FK Radnik Surdulica | Draw | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladost Lucani (rating 1489 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Mladost Lucani: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Radnik Surdulica | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnik Surdulica 1–3–2 Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 02/08/25 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 25/11/23 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Mladost Lucani |
| 31/07/23 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 09/05/23 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 10/02/23 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Cukaricki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Macva Sabac | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mladost Lucani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Partizan Belgrade | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Radnicki Nis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vojvodina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Zemun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFK Beograd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Radnik Surdulica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Buducnost Podgorica Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/06 | Levski Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Radnik Surdulica vs Mladost Lucani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnik Surdulica win (43%). Probabilities: FK Radnik Surdulica 43%, draw 30%, Mladost Lucani 27%.
How many goals are expected in FK Radnik Surdulica vs Mladost Lucani?
The model expects 2.2 goals (FK Radnik Surdulica 1.26 · Mladost Lucani 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Radnik Surdulica vs Mladost Lucani?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.