Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: Almere City FC vs PSV Reserves

Team pages: Almere City FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Almere City FC1.94

PSV Reserves1.44

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Almere City FC Draw PSV Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Almere City FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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PSV Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Almere City FC 2–4 PSV Reserves (6 last)

PSV Reserves2-3Almere City FC
Almere City FC2-4PSV Reserves
Almere City FC1-2PSV Reserves
PSV Reserves0-1Almere City FC
PSV Reserves5-1Almere City FC
Almere City FC3-5PSV Reserves

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours PSV Reserves: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Almere City FC	PSV Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.7	2.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.86

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.66 → 1.67▲	Pinn 1.67
X	4.33 → 4.39▲	Pinn 4.39
2	4.01 → 4.07▲	Pinn 4.07

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:19	1.66	4.33	4.01
21:26 +1’	1.67▲	4.39▲	4.07▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Almere City FC 2–0–4 PSV Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	PSV Reserves	2-3 HT 1-0	Almere City FC
12/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	2-4 HT 2-0	PSV Reserves
03/02/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	1-2 HT 0-1	PSV Reserves
07/11/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	PSV Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Almere City FC
10/01/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	PSV Reserves	5-1 HT 3-1	Almere City FC
22/10/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	3-5 HT 2-2	PSV Reserves

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
2	FC Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
2	Maastricht	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
2	NAC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	Almere City FC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	De Graafschap	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	FC Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	Helmond Sport	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	RKC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
6	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	PSV Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	VVV	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
17	Ajax Reserves	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
17	FC Utrecht Reserves	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
17	Top Oss	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
20	Roda JC	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Almere City FC	PSV Reserves
FC Den Bosch	1-1 D	0-1 L
Willem II	0-2 L	0-1 L
VVV	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PSV Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Almere City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
01/08	FC Emmen Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
08/07	Go Ahead Eagles Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
13/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
09/05	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
06/05	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	0	W
02/05	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
29/04	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	0-2	3-2	8	2	W
24/04	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-3	7	1	L

PSV Reserves

DWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/04	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-4	9	3	L
17/04	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
13/04	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
06/04	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
03/04	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
20/03	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
16/03	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
13/03	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
06/03	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
27/02	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Almere City FC vs PSV Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Almere City FC win (48%). Probabilities: Almere City FC 48%, draw 24%, PSV Reserves 28%.

How many goals are expected in Almere City FC vs PSV Reserves?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Almere City FC 1.94 · PSV Reserves 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Almere City FC vs PSV Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.