Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: NAC vs VVV
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
NAC2.27
VVV1.04
1X2
NAC
Draw
VVV
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
NAC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
VVV
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NAC
3–1–2
VVV
(6 last)
- NAC1-0VVV
- VVV3-1NAC
- VVV1-3NAC
- NAC1-2VVV
- NAC3-1VVV
- NAC1-1VVV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NAC 1520 · VVV 1460
| NAC | Draw | VVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NAC (rating 1520 vs 1460).
- H2H favours NAC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NAC | VVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.7 | 2.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NAC 3–1–2 VVV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | VVV |
| 15/09/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | VVV | 3-1 HT 3-0 | NAC |
| 31/03/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | VVV | 1-3 HT 0-1 | NAC |
| 30/09/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | VVV |
| 08/04/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | VVV |
| 26/10/21 Netherlands Cup | NAC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | VVV |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | PSV Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | NAC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Eindhoven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Almere City FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | De Graafschap | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Helmond Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | RKC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | VVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | AZ Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Roda JC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NAC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Bolton Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | OFI Crete Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | SC Lokeren-Temse Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Excelsior Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | HSV Hoek Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Eindhoven Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
VVV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Eupen Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | SC Fortuna Köln Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | OH Leuven II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Borussia M'gladbach II Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NAC vs VVV?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NAC win (64%). Probabilities: NAC 64%, draw 20%, VVV 15%.
How many goals are expected in NAC vs VVV?
The model expects 3.3 goals (NAC 2.27 · VVV 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in NAC vs VVV?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.