Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 31/10, 03:00
Prediction: Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas
Team pages: Municipal Perez Zeledon · Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Municipal Perez Zeledon1.39
Puntarenas1.47
1X2
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1–2–3
Puntarenas
(6 last)
- Puntarenas1-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon3-3Puntarenas
- Puntarenas1-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Puntarenas1-2Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-1Puntarenas
- Puntarenas1-0Municipal Perez Zeledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1417 · Puntarenas 1521
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Draw | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puntarenas (rating 1417 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Puntarenas: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1–2–3 Puntarenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 12/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Puntarenas |
| 14/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 02/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 02/10/25 Costa Rica Cup | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Puntarenas |
| 25/09/25 Costa Rica Cup | Puntarenas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Herediano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Perez Zeledon | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Alajuelense | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| AD San Carlos | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Puntarenas (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Perez Zeledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 17/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 14/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 07/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 12 | W |
| 16/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Puntarenas win (38%). Probabilities: Municipal Perez Zeledon 35%, draw 27%, Puntarenas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Municipal Perez Zeledon 1.39 · Puntarenas 1.47), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Municipal Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.