Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 08/11, 03:00
Prediction: Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose
Team pages: Alajuelense · Sporting San Jose
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Alajuelense1.89
Sporting San Jose1.11
1X2
Alajuelense
Draw
Sporting San Jose
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Alajuelense
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Sporting San Jose
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alajuelense
3–2–1
Sporting San Jose
(6 last)
- Sporting San Jose1-1Alajuelense
- Sporting San Jose0-2Alajuelense
- Alajuelense1-2Sporting San Jose
- Alajuelense2-0Sporting San Jose
- Sporting San Jose1-2Alajuelense
- Alajuelense0-0Sporting San Jose
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alajuelense 1569 · Sporting San Jose 1549
| Alajuelense | Draw | Sporting San Jose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Alajuelense: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7.2 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alajuelense 3–2–1 Sporting San Jose
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Alajuelense |
| 12/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Alajuelense |
| 16/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sporting San Jose |
| 23/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sporting San Jose |
| 28/07/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Sporting San Jose | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Alajuelense |
| 17/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Jose |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting San Jose | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Herediano | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alajuelense | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 4-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 0-0 D | 0-6 L |
| Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Inter San Carlos | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Herediano | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Cartagines | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting San Jose (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alajuelense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Sporting San Jose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/11 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/10 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alajuelense win (54%). Probabilities: Alajuelense 54%, draw 25%, Sporting San Jose 21%.
How many goals are expected in Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Alajuelense 1.89 · Sporting San Jose 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.