Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 08/11, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas
Team pages: Deportivo Saprissa · Puntarenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Deportivo Saprissa2.13
Puntarenas0.77
1X2
Deportivo Saprissa
Draw
Puntarenas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Saprissa
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Puntarenas
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Saprissa
4–1–1
Puntarenas
(6 last)
- Puntarenas0-2Deportivo Saprissa
- Puntarenas1-3Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-2Puntarenas
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Puntarenas
- Puntarenas3-1Deportivo Saprissa
- Puntarenas1-2Deportivo Saprissa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Saprissa 1546 · Puntarenas 1484
| Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (rating 1546 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Saprissa | Puntarenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 4–1–1 Puntarenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 27/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 14/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Puntarenas |
| 26/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Puntarenas |
| 11/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 16/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Puntarenas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting San Jose | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 30 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Deportivo Saprissa | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Cartagines | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Herediano | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Saprissa | Puntarenas |
|---|---|---|
| Alajuelense | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| AD San Carlos | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Cartagines | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Escorpiones de Belen FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Saprissa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/11 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
Puntarenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 14/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 07/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (68%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 68%, draw 20%, Puntarenas 12%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 2.13 · Puntarenas 0.77), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.