Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 08/11, 01:00
Prediction: AD San Carlos vs Municipal Perez Zeledon
Team pages: AD San Carlos · Municipal Perez Zeledon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
AD San Carlos1.99
Municipal Perez Zeledon0.76
1X2
AD San Carlos
Draw
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AD San Carlos
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Municipal Perez Zeledon
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD San Carlos
2–1–3
Municipal Perez Zeledon
(6 last)
- Municipal Perez Zeledon0-2AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos1-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
- Municipal Perez Zeledon3-1AD San Carlos
- Municipal Perez Zeledon1-3AD San Carlos
- AD San Carlos0-1Municipal Perez Zeledon
- AD San Carlos0-2Municipal Perez Zeledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD San Carlos 1529 · Municipal Perez Zeledon 1433
| AD San Carlos | Draw | Municipal Perez Zeledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 22% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD San Carlos (rating 1529 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Municipal Perez Zeledon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD San Carlos | Municipal Perez Zeledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Carlos 2–1–3 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 0-2 HT 0-2 | AD San Carlos |
| 25/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 14/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3-1 HT 2-1 | AD San Carlos |
| 19/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 1-3 HT 1-2 | AD San Carlos |
| 02/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
| 05/04/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | AD San Carlos | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting San Jose | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Herediano | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD San Carlos | Municipal Perez Zeledon |
|---|---|---|
| Puntarenas | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sporting San Jose | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Inter San Carlos | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Herediano | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AD San Carlos (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD San Carlos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/10 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 14/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 11 | L |
| 11/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 07/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Municipal Perez Zeledon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 31/10 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/10 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD San Carlos vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD San Carlos win (65%). Probabilities: AD San Carlos 65%, draw 22%, Municipal Perez Zeledon 13%.
How many goals are expected in AD San Carlos vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?
The model expects 2.75 goals (AD San Carlos 1.99 · Municipal Perez Zeledon 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AD San Carlos vs Municipal Perez Zeledon?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.