Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 01/11, 01:00

Prediction: Sporting San Jose vs Herediano

Team pages: Sporting San Jose · Herediano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Sporting San Jose1.47

Herediano1.21

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Sporting San Jose Draw Herediano

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Jose 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Herediano 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sporting San Jose 1–2–3 Herediano (6 last)

Herediano0-3Sporting San Jose
Herediano0-0Sporting San Jose
Sporting San Jose0-2Herediano
Sporting San Jose0-1Herediano
Herediano0-0Sporting San Jose
Sporting San Jose1-3Herediano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Jose 1543 · Herediano 1507

	Sporting San Jose	Draw	Herediano
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Herediano: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Jose	Herediano
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	2.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 08:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.32▼	Pinn 2.32
X	3.47 → 3.52▲	Pinn 3.52
2	2.58 → 2.86▲	Pinn 2.86

See the full journey (6)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:15 +2’	2.50	3.47	2.58
11:22	2.52▲	3.51▲	2.61▲
23:29 +3’	2.48▼	3.52▲	2.64▲
05:17 +2’	2.39▼	3.52	2.76▲
06:15 +1’	2.36▼	3.52	2.80▲
08:06 +12’	2.32▼	3.52	2.86▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Jose 1–2–3 Herediano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Herediano	0-3 HT 0-0	Sporting San Jose
26/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Herediano	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Jose
15/01/26 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	0-2 HT 0-2	Herediano
01/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	0-1 HT 0-1	Herediano
14/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Herediano	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Jose
17/03/25 Costa Rica Primera Division	Sporting San Jose	1-3 HT 1-1	Herediano

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	13	8	0	5	27	14	24
2	Cartagines	13	8	0	5	24	17	24
3	Sporting San Jose	13	7	3	3	26	20	24
4	Alajuelense	13	6	4	3	21	14	22
5	AD San Carlos	13	7	1	5	15	15	22
6	Puntarenas	13	5	3	5	15	19	18
7	Inter San Carlos	13	5	3	5	15	20	18
8	Herediano	13	4	2	7	15	17	14
9	Escorpiones de Belen FC	13	3	1	9	14	22	10
10	Municipal Perez Zeledon	13	2	3	8	9	23	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Jose	Herediano
Escorpiones de Belen FC	4-2 W	2-0 W
AD San Carlos	3-3 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Saprissa	0-6 L	0-2 L
Cartagines	3-1 W	3-1 W
Municipal Perez Zeledon	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Herediano (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Jose

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	4-2	2	5	W
20/10	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	3-1	3-3	2	7	D
16/10	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-3	0-6	2	2	L
10/10	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
19/09	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	8	W
14/09	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	3-1	4-2	7	5	W
07/09	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
29/08	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	2-0	4	10	W
23/08	Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
18/08	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	2-0	2-0	8	4	W

Herediano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	1	W
19/10	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
15/10	Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	1-1	6	9	D
11/10	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
20/09	Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	11	L
13/09	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
06/09	Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division	1-1	2-3	9	9	L
30/08	Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
23/08	Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-3	6	1	L
15/08	AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Jose vs Herediano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Jose win (42%). Probabilities: Sporting San Jose 42%, draw 28%, Herediano 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose vs Herediano?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Sporting San Jose 1.47 · Herediano 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Jose vs Herediano?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.