Football · Costa Rica Primera Division · 01/11, 03:00
Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
Team pages: Deportivo Saprissa · Alajuelense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Deportivo Saprissa1.78
Alajuelense1.14
1X2
Deportivo Saprissa
Draw
Alajuelense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Saprissa
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Alajuelense
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Saprissa
2–2–2
Alajuelense
(6 last)
- Alajuelense0-2Deportivo Saprissa
- Alajuelense1-1Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-1Alajuelense
- Alajuelense3-1Deportivo Saprissa
- Deportivo Saprissa2-2Alajuelense
- Alajuelense2-0Deportivo Saprissa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Saprissa 1501 · Alajuelense 1528
| Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | Alajuelense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Saprissa | Alajuelense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.2 | 3.2 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa 2–2–2 Alajuelense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 20/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 22/02/26 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Alajuelense |
| 21/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Saprissa |
| 18/12/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Alajuelense |
| 20/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division | Alajuelense | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Saprissa |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Cartagines | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Sporting San Jose | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Alajuelense | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | AD San Carlos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Puntarenas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Inter San Carlos | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Herediano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | Escorpiones de Belen FC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
| 10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Saprissa | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| AD San Carlos | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Cartagines | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Herediano | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Inter San Carlos | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Saprissa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
3-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/09 | Sporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
Alajuelense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/10 | Herediano Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Cartagines Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Saprissa Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Municipal Perez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | AD San Carlos Costa Rica Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Puntarenas Costa Rica Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa win (51%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa 51%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 23%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Deportivo Saprissa 1.78 · Alajuelense 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.