Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 24/10, 12:15

Prediction: Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow

Team pages: Piast Gliwice · Cracovia Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Piast Gliwice2.08

Cracovia Krakow1.16

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Piast Gliwice Draw Cracovia Krakow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Piast Gliwice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDWWWLW

Cracovia Krakow 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLLWD

Head-to-head

Piast Gliwice 1–5–0 Cracovia Krakow (6 last)

Cracovia Krakow2-3Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice0-0Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice0-0Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow1-1Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice0-0Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow1-1Piast Gliwice

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piast Gliwice (rating 1546 vs 1464).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Piast Gliwice	Cracovia Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.79 → 2.82▲	Pinn 2.82
X	3.20 → 3.24▲	Pinn 3.24
2	2.53 → 2.56▲	Pinn 2.56

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:34 +17’	2.79	3.20	2.53
13:29 +75’	2.82▲	3.24▲	2.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Piast Gliwice 1–5–0 Cracovia Krakow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	2-3 HT 1-0	Piast Gliwice
24/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	0-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
08/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	0-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
21/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	1-1 HT 0-1	Piast Gliwice
23/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Piast Gliwice	0-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
21/08/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	1-1 HT 1-0	Piast Gliwice

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27	9	25
3	Legia Warsaw	11	6	5	0	22	9	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15	6	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22	16	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17	14	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13	13	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13	18	15
10	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13	16	12
11	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
12	Jagiellonia Bialystok	10	4	0	6	13	17	12
13	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9	15	11
14	Widzew Lodz	11	1	7	3	14	15	10
15	Wieczysta Krakow	11	2	2	7	16	21	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	2	2	6	9	23	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14	22	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	11	2	0	9	15	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Piast Gliwice	Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin	1-2 L	0-2 L
Radomiak Radom	2-0 W	1-2 L
GKS Katowice	3-0 W	2-3 L
Legia Warsaw	1-1 D	1-1 D
Wieczysta Krakow	3-4 L	3-2 W
Zaglebie Lubin	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Piast Gliwice (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Piast Gliwice

LWLLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
14/09	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
04/09	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-0	3	9	W
29/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
22/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-4	7	1	L
09/08	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-3	3	3	L
01/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-1	4-3	4	3	W
27/07	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	11	2	L

Cracovia Krakow

LDWWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-1	5	5	W
19/09	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-3	1	3	L
13/09	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
06/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	10	3	L
21/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-2	9	1	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
09/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/08	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Piast Gliwice win (57%). Probabilities: Piast Gliwice 57%, draw 23%, Cracovia Krakow 20%.

How many goals are expected in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Piast Gliwice 2.08 · Cracovia Krakow 1.16), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.