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Football · France Ligue 2 · 08/08, 20:45

Prediction: Boulogne vs Nancy

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Boulogne1.18
Nancy1.08
1X2
38% 30% 33%
Boulogne Draw Nancy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boulogne 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDWWLD
Nancy 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DLDWWLDWDD
Head-to-head
Boulogne 1–2–1 Nancy (4 last)
  • Boulogne0-0Nancy
  • Nancy1-0Boulogne
  • Nancy0-2Boulogne
  • Boulogne1-1Nancy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boulogne 1461 · Nancy 1515
BoulogneDrawNancy
Our model37%31%32%
Market38%29%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nancy (rating 1461 vs 1515).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BoulogneNancy
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.32.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.81.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.14 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boulogne 1–2–1 Nancy

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/26
France Ligue 2
Boulogne0-0
HT 0-0
Nancy
15/08/25
France Ligue 2
Nancy1-0
HT 1-0
Boulogne
28/02/25
France National
Nancy0-2
HT 0-1
Boulogne
27/09/24
France National
Boulogne1-1
HT 0-1
Nancy

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 000 000
1 Clermont Foot 000 000
1 Dijon 000 000
1 Guingamp 000 000
1 Annecy 000 000
1 Metz 000 000
1 Nantes 000 000
1 Grenoble 000 000
1 Montpellier 000 000
1 Nancy 000 000
1 Pau 000 000
1 Red Star FC 93 000 000
1 Rodez Aveyron 000 000
1 Sochaux 000 000
1 Laval 000 000
1 Reims 000 000
1 Boulogne 000 000
1 Dunkerque 000 000

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoulogneNancy
Annecy 1-2 L 1-1 D
Dunkerque 2-6 L 3-2 W
Troyes 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nancy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boulogne

DLLLLDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Valenciennes
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 1-1 43 D
25/07 Rouen
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 0-1 02 L
24/07 Amiens
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 1-0 20 W
15/07 FC Fleury 91
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 2-0 40 W
04/07 Anderlecht
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 0-0 –– D
09/05 Laval
France Ligue 2
 0-2 1-2 32 L
02/05 Annecy
France Ligue 2
 0-1 1-2 42 L
27/04 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
 1-2 2-6 53 L
18/04 Troyes
France Ligue 2
 0-0 0-1 12 L
11/04 Le Mans
France Ligue 2
 0-0 0-0 20 D

Nancy

DLDWWLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Dijon
Europe Friendlies
 1-1 2-2 44 D
28/07 Annecy
Club Friendly List
 0-0 1-1 –– D
24/07 Haguenau
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 5-0 50 W
18/07 Thionville FC
Club Friendly List
 2-0 2-2 –– D
11/07 Troyes
Europe Friendlies
 0-1 1-3 –– L
09/05 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
 2-0 3-2 32 W
02/05 Pau
France Ligue 2
 0-1 3-1 64 W
25/04 Reims
France Ligue 2
 0-1 1-1 010 D
17/04 Annecy
France Ligue 2
 0-2 1-5 12 L
10/04 Clermont Foot
France Ligue 2
 1-0 2-2 17 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boulogne vs Nancy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boulogne win (38%). Probabilities: Boulogne 38%, draw 30%, Nancy 33%.

How many goals are expected in Boulogne vs Nancy?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Boulogne 1.18 · Nancy 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boulogne vs Nancy?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.